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Elections 2004: Political Forecasts, Economic Consequences


Tom Campbell and Bruce Cain will provide a survey of the country and the state from both an economic and political perspective, making predictions and explanations for near-term business and political trends. They will then apply those conclusions to the issue of electoral politics, trying to make predictions on the outcome of the presidential and congressional elections. Tom believes politics influences economics, and economics dominates politics. Bruce believes economics influences politics, and politics dominates economics. Both will explain why theirs is the better view.


Tom Campbell

Campbell served as Dean of the Fowler School of Law from 2011 to 2016. He came to Chapman in January 2009 as a visiting Presidential Fellow and Fletcher Jones Distinguished Visiting Professor of Law. Prior to joining Chapman, he was the Bank of America Dean and Professor of Business from 2002 to 2008 at the Haas School of Business at Berkeley.

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Bruce Cain

Cain is Heller Professor of Political Science in the Charles and Louise Travers Department of Political Science, director of the UC Washington Center, and co-director of the Cal Class of ’68 Center on Civility and Democratic Engagement. A member of the Berkeley faculty since 1989, he has served as a polling consultant and a redistricting consultant. He also provides political commentary for radio and television stations in Los Angeles and the Bay Area, and has written and edited a wide range of books on elections and politics in general.

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